Discussion:
U.S. Could Have Saved 36,000 Lives If Social Distancing Started 1 Week Earlier: Study
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Rudy Canoza
2020-05-21 21:25:23 UTC
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The U.S. could have prevented roughly 36,000 deaths from COVID-19 if broad
social distancing measures had been put in place just one week earlier in
March, according to an analysis from Columbia University.

Underlining the importance of aggressively responding to the coronavirus,
the study found the U.S. could have avoided at least 700,000 fewer
infections if actions that began on March 15 had actually started on March 8.

The U.S. currently has more than 1.5 million confirmed COVID-19 cases, and
more than 93,000 people have died from the disease, according to data
compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

In the analysis, researchers applied transmission models to data drawn from
the pandemic's actual course county by county in the U.S. — the worst-hit
nation in the world. The main focus of the study was the period from March
15 to May 3, when U.S. states and counties implemented "measures enforcing
social distancing and restricting individual contact."

And if restrictions had gone into effect in the U.S. two weeks earlier,
researchers found, nearly 54,000 people would still be alive and nearly a
million COVID-19 cases would have been avoided.

The World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a global pandemic on March
11 — an act that had been widely anticipated. Two days later, President
Trump declared a national emergency in the U.S. But it took even longer for
dozens of U.S. states to order social distancing and shut down business as
usual.

https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/05/21/860077940/u-s-could-have-saved-36-000-lives-if-social-distancing-started-1-week-earlier-st

Trump fucked up, of course, costing tens of thousands of people their lives.
max headroom
2020-05-22 13:30:00 UTC
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Post by Rudy Canoza
The U.S. could have prevented roughly 36,000 deaths from COVID-19 if broad
social distancing measures had been put in place just one week earlier in
March, according to an analysis from Columbia University.
Underlining the importance of aggressively responding to the coronavirus,
the study found the U.S. could have avoided at least 700,000 fewer
infections if actions that began on March 15 had actually started on March 8.
The U.S. currently has more than 1.5 million confirmed COVID-19 cases, and
more than 93,000 people have died from the disease, according to data
compiled by Johns Hopkins University.
In the analysis, researchers applied transmission models to data drawn from
the pandemic's actual course county by county in the U.S. - the worst-hit
nation in the world. The main focus of the study was the period from March
15 to May 3, when U.S. states and counties implemented "measures enforcing
social distancing and restricting individual contact."
And if restrictions had gone into effect in the U.S. two weeks earlier,
researchers found, nearly 54,000 people would still be alive and nearly a
million COVID-19 cases would have been avoided.
The World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a global pandemic on March
11 - an act that had been widely anticipated. Two days later, President
Trump declared a national emergency in the U.S. But it took even longer for
dozens of U.S. states to order social distancing and shut down business as
usual.
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/05/21/860077940/u-s-could-have-saved-36-000-lives-if-social-distancing-started-1-week-earlier-st
Trump fucked up, of course, costing tens of thousands of people their lives.
Trump has no authority to order social distancing, of course.

God, you're stupid.
M I Wakefield
2020-05-22 14:31:57 UTC
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Post by max headroom
Post by Rudy Canoza
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/05/21/860077940/u-s-could-have-saved-36-000-lives-if-social-distancing-started-1-week-earlier-st
Trump fucked up, of course, costing tens of thousands of people their lives.
Trump has no authority to order social distancing, of course.
Trump could have taken it seriously sometime before March.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1263797847071342594
Post by max headroom
God, you're stupid.
Your head is way up Trump's ass ... can you see Scotty's feet?
Klaus Schadenfreude
2020-05-22 14:43:08 UTC
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Post by M I Wakefield
Post by max headroom
Post by Rudy Canoza
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/05/21/860077940/u-s-could-have-saved-36-000-lives-if-social-distancing-started-1-week-earlier-st
Trump fucked up, of course, costing tens of thousands of people their lives.
Trump has no authority to order social distancing, of course.
Trump could have taken it seriously sometime before March.
He could have done it in January, and he STILL wouldn't have had the
authority to order social distancing.
M I Wakefield
2020-05-22 16:16:42 UTC
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Post by Klaus Schadenfreude
He could have done it in January, and he STILL wouldn't have had the
authority to order social distancing.
He could have shown moral leadership ... something of a foreign concept for
him, I'm sure ... and gotten out in front of the crisis, and led the
governors.

But no ... that didn't happen, and the only question left about reaching the
grim milestone of 100,000 dead is:

Saturday, Sunday, or Monday?
Klaus Schadenfreude
2020-05-22 18:43:43 UTC
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Post by M I Wakefield
Post by Klaus Schadenfreude
He could have done it in January, and he STILL wouldn't have had the
authority to order social distancing.
He could have shown moral leadership ... something of a foreign concept for
him, I'm sure ... and gotten out in front of the crisis, and led the
governors.
So you're saying that you couldn't initiate social distancing without
being led by Trump.

Gotcha.

[chuckle]
zndTM⚛← ╬ 𝑴𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒚 𝑾𝒂𝒏𝒏𝒂𝒃𝒆 ╬ →⚛Ya5wS
2020-05-22 18:53:33 UTC
Reply
Permalink
Post by Klaus Schadenfreude
Post by M I Wakefield
Post by Klaus Schadenfreude
He could have done it in January, and he STILL wouldn't have had the
authority to order social distancing.
He could have shown moral leadership ... something of a foreign concept for
him, I'm sure ... and gotten out in front of the crisis, and led the
governors.
So you're saying that you couldn't initiate social distancing without
being led by Trump.
Gotcha.
[giggle]
Trump is a disgrace. He is a snake oil salesman from Queens, NYC.
Klaus Schadenfreude
2020-05-22 21:47:36 UTC
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On Fri, 22 May 2020 14:53:33 -0400, zndTM?? ? ?????? ??????? ? ??Ya5wS
Post by zndTM⚛← ╬ 𝑴𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒚 𝑾𝒂𝒏𝒏𝒂𝒃𝒆 ╬ →⚛Ya5wS
Post by Klaus Schadenfreude
Post by M I Wakefield
Post by Klaus Schadenfreude
He could have done it in January, and he STILL wouldn't have had the
authority to order social distancing.
He could have shown moral leadership ... something of a foreign concept for
him, I'm sure ... and gotten out in front of the crisis, and led the
governors.
So you're saying that you couldn't initiate social distancing without
being led by Trump.
Gotcha.
[chuckle]
Trump is a disgrace. He is a snake oil salesman from Queens, NYC.
So says another leftist who desperately needs Trump to tell him what
to do.

[chuckle]
bigdog
2020-05-22 23:59:03 UTC
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Post by Klaus Schadenfreude
On Fri, 22 May 2020 14:53:33 -0400, zndTM?? ? ?????? ??????? ? ??Ya5wS
Post by zndTM⚛← ╬ 𝑴𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒚 𝑾𝒂𝒏𝒏𝒂𝒃𝒆 ╬ →⚛Ya5wS
Post by Klaus Schadenfreude
Post by M I Wakefield
Post by Klaus Schadenfreude
He could have done it in January, and he STILL wouldn't have had the
authority to order social distancing.
He could have shown moral leadership ... something of a foreign concept for
him, I'm sure ... and gotten out in front of the crisis, and led the
governors.
So you're saying that you couldn't initiate social distancing without
being led by Trump.
Gotcha.
[chuckle]
Trump is a disgrace. He is a snake oil salesman from Queens, NYC.
So says another leftist who desperately needs Trump to tell him what
to do.
[chuckle]
The liberal elites have always looked down their noses at Trump because he is
from Queens and not Manhattan. They think anything outside of Manhattan is not
really part of New York. Trump has never been accepted by the limousine liberals.
While Trump has amassed great wealth, he is culturally a blue collar guy which
is why he has been able to connect with the working class voters. He has a
street fighter's attitude and the blue collar guys like that about him.
Zinger
2020-05-23 02:04:49 UTC
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Post by zndTM⚛← ╬ 𝑴𝒊𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒚 𝑾𝒂𝒏𝒏𝒂𝒃𝒆 ╬ →⚛Ya5wS
Post by Klaus Schadenfreude
Post by M I Wakefield
Post by Klaus Schadenfreude
He could have done it in January, and he STILL wouldn't have had the
authority to order social distancing.
He could have shown moral leadership ... something of a foreign concept for
him, I'm sure ... and gotten out in front of the crisis, and led the
governors.
So you're saying that you couldn't initiate social distancing without
being led by Trump.
Gotcha.
[giggle]
Trump is a disgrace. He is a snake oil salesman from Queens, NYC.
You have been doing a bang up job of trying to peddle your venomous
snake oil in these groups. I guess that makes you an admirer of
President Trump and you are jealous of his success in light of your
inability to sell your nasty product.

bigdog
2020-05-22 23:53:03 UTC
Reply
Permalink
Post by max headroom
Post by Rudy Canoza
The U.S. could have prevented roughly 36,000 deaths from COVID-19 if broad
social distancing measures had been put in place just one week earlier in
March, according to an analysis from Columbia University.
Underlining the importance of aggressively responding to the coronavirus,
the study found the U.S. could have avoided at least 700,000 fewer
infections if actions that began on March 15 had actually started on March 8.
The U.S. currently has more than 1.5 million confirmed COVID-19 cases, and
more than 93,000 people have died from the disease, according to data
compiled by Johns Hopkins University.
In the analysis, researchers applied transmission models to data drawn from
the pandemic's actual course county by county in the U.S. - the worst-hit
nation in the world. The main focus of the study was the period from March
15 to May 3, when U.S. states and counties implemented "measures enforcing
social distancing and restricting individual contact."
And if restrictions had gone into effect in the U.S. two weeks earlier,
researchers found, nearly 54,000 people would still be alive and nearly a
million COVID-19 cases would have been avoided.
The World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a global pandemic on March
11 - an act that had been widely anticipated. Two days later, President
Trump declared a national emergency in the U.S. But it took even longer for
dozens of U.S. states to order social distancing and shut down business as
usual.
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/05/21/860077940/u-s-could-have-saved-36-000-lives-if-social-distancing-started-1-week-earlier-st
Trump fucked up, of course, costing tens of thousands of people their lives.
Trump has no authority to order social distancing, of course.
God, you're stupid.
Studies generally show what the people conducting the studies want them to show.
Of course if Trump had called for lockdowns a week earlier than he did, the TDS
crowd would be screaming that he was overreacting. This was at a time when Fauci
was telling people there was no danger and if they wanted to go on a cruise they
should go on a cruise. Trump would have had to ignore the advice of his top
medical adviser in order to start the lockdown sooner. The TDSers would be
have told us Trump was ignoring science. It doesn't matter what Trump does, the
TDSers will tell us he should have done something else. You can take that to the
bank.

There is no evidence lockdowns did a damn thing to stop the spread of Covid-19. It's all an assumption. South Dakota's governor resisted calls to lockdown her state and their infection and death rates are quite a bit lower than most of the
states that implemented draconian lockdowns.

And, yes, Rudy is stupid.
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