2020-05-21 21:25:23 UTC
The U.S. could have prevented roughly 36,000 deaths from COVID-19 if broad
social distancing measures had been put in place just one week earlier in
March, according to an analysis from Columbia University.
Underlining the importance of aggressively responding to the coronavirus,
the study found the U.S. could have avoided at least 700,000 fewer
infections if actions that began on March 15 had actually started on March 8.
The U.S. currently has more than 1.5 million confirmed COVID-19 cases, and
more than 93,000 people have died from the disease, according to data
compiled by Johns Hopkins University.
In the analysis, researchers applied transmission models to data drawn from
the pandemic's actual course county by county in the U.S. — the worst-hit
nation in the world. The main focus of the study was the period from March
15 to May 3, when U.S. states and counties implemented "measures enforcing
social distancing and restricting individual contact."
And if restrictions had gone into effect in the U.S. two weeks earlier,
researchers found, nearly 54,000 people would still be alive and nearly a
million COVID-19 cases would have been avoided.
The World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a global pandemic on March
11 — an act that had been widely anticipated. Two days later, President
Trump declared a national emergency in the U.S. But it took even longer for
dozens of U.S. states to order social distancing and shut down business as
Trump fucked up, of course, costing tens of thousands of people their lives.